Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.431243 0.499074 0.573291 0.660414 0.759775 0.869450 0.999570
2025-07-13 0.323441 0.416955 0.529713 0.675161 0.857242 1.077036 1.361814
2025-07-20 0.272145 0.379488 0.518334 0.709921 0.966082 1.295248 1.748529
2025-07-27 0.233612 0.347662 0.503971 0.731868 1.053271 1.487546 2.115341
2025-08-03 0.200747 0.316455 0.483323 0.738616 1.115711 1.647765 2.449594
2025-08-10 0.172877 0.287232 0.459964 0.735978 1.160977 1.784218 2.758804
2025-08-17 0.149003 0.260025 0.435102 0.726349 1.192261 1.900038 3.044635
2025-08-24 0.129639 0.236923 0.413069 0.717287 1.221477 2.012727 3.332390
2025-08-31 0.110943 0.212055 0.384674 0.693756 1.223666 2.081467 3.554627
2025-09-07 0.105170 0.208965 0.392221 0.730661 1.327928 2.320568 4.068069
2025-09-14 0.091561 0.189550 0.368800 0.710783 1.332842 2.395449 4.314890
2025-09-21 0.079984 0.172311 0.347099 0.691171 1.335444 2.465207 4.556527
2025-09-28 0.070038 0.157127 0.327830 0.674655 1.343289 2.546929 4.830105
2025-10-05 0.064846 0.151004 0.325353 0.689951 1.411722 2.742240 5.322359
2025-10-12 0.062252 0.150014 0.332865 0.725438 1.521522 3.020927 5.987017
2025-10-19 0.058597 0.146139 0.333934 0.747833 1.607464 3.261380 6.598043
2025-10-26 0.053948 0.139312 0.327916 0.754718 1.662663 3.447104 7.118348
2025-11-02 0.049050 0.131159 0.317989 0.752027 1.697568 3.595378 7.575985
2025-11-09 0.044178 0.122332 0.305471 0.742202 1.716303 3.712495 7.979950
2025-11-16 0.039891 0.114319 0.293825 0.732955 1.735120 3.830629 8.393668
2025-11-23 0.035175 0.104459 0.276605 0.708944 1.719096 3.875294 8.659540
2025-11-30 0.034472 0.105256 0.285249 0.746601 1.844328 4.224994 9.584206
2025-12-07 0.030703 0.097009 0.270474 0.726318 1.835261 4.287184 9.904474